No. MAD beat PAR 77-73, but PAR's shots were worth 93.7 points to MAD's 85.0.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR | 79 | 71 | 91.4 | 2/3 | 2.3 | 73 | 93.7 |
| MAD | 60 | 64 | 70.5 | 13/18 | 14.5 | 77 | 85.0 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.