BAR 78-82 ULK, February 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ULK beat BAR 82-78, but BAR's shots were worth 90.5 points to ULK's 73.6.

BAR 78-82 ULK, February 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAR726777.511/1613.07890.5
ULK486253.520/2520.28273.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.