RED 95-92 DUB, January 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. RED beat DUB 95-92, but DUB's shots were worth 91.2 points to RED's 84.2.

RED 95-92 DUB, January 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
RED	68	80	68.4	15/21	15.8	95	84.2
DUB	65	71	69.7	21/27	21.5	92	91.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.