BAS 102-91 ZAL, January 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAS beat ZAL 102-91, and BAS's shots were worth 91.1 points to ZAL's 83.2.

BAS 102-91 ZAL, January 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAS668071.122/2420.010291.1
ZAL617265.819/2217.49183.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.