MIL 85-79 PAR, January 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat PAR 85-79, and MIL's shots were worth 84.0 points to PAR's 82.3.

MIL 85-79 PAR, January 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL607067.615/2116.58584.0
PAR596569.214/1613.17982.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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