PAR 104-101 HTA, January 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAR beat HTA 104-101, and PAR's shots were worth 99.5 points to HTA's 91.5.

PAR 104-101 HTA, January 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAR738482.120/2217.410499.5
HTA678170.120/2721.310191.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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