MIL 82-86 ZAL, January 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ZAL beat MIL 86-82, and ZAL's shots were worth 90.1 points to MIL's 78.6.

MIL 82-86 ZAL, January 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL546764.515/1714.08278.6
ZAL596266.624/3023.48690.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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