MIL 79-82 MCO, October 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MCO beat MIL 82-79, and MCO's shots were worth 91.1 points to MIL's 89.0.

MIL 79-82 MCO, October 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL696574.414/1814.67989.0
MCO606167.321/3023.98291.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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