MAD 80-61 BAR, January 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MAD beat BAR 80-61, and MAD's shots were worth 69.9 points to BAR's 65.8.

MAD 80-61 BAR, January 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MAD586555.815/1814.18069.9
BAR514647.815/2318.06165.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.