BAS 84-86 PAN, October 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PAN beat BAS 86-84, but BAS's shots were worth 90.8 points to PAN's 87.7.

BAS 84-86 PAN, October 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAS716974.515/2116.48490.8
PAN737271.914/2015.88687.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.