ULK 82-79 PAM, January 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ULK beat PAM 82-79, but PAM's shots were worth 89.1 points to ULK's 77.7.

ULK 82-79 PAM, January 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ULK566562.617/1815.18277.7
PAM676676.013/1713.17989.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.