MIL 96-104 RED, January 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. RED beat MIL 104-96, and RED's shots were worth 104.7 points to MIL's 86.7.

MIL 96-104 RED, January 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	62	81	70.5	15/21	16.3	96	86.7
RED	71	81	83.5	23/28	21.2	104	104.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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