BAS 96-102 OLY, September 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OLY beat BAS 102-96, and OLY's shots were worth 98.6 points to BAS's 86.8.

BAS 96-102 OLY, September 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAS728374.113/1612.79686.8
OLY727173.031/3225.510298.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.