VIR 83-79 ZAL, January 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. VIR beat ZAL 83-79, and VIR's shots were worth 86.8 points to ZAL's 80.7.

VIR 83-79 ZAL, January 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VIR646670.817/1916.08386.8
ZAL646566.814/1813.97980.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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