ULK 88-80 OLY, January 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ULK beat OLY 88-80, but OLY's shots were worth 95.7 points to ULK's 89.3.

ULK 88-80 OLY, January 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ULK	70	82	82.3	6/9	7.0	88	89.3
OLY	64	61	77.7	19/22	18.0	80	95.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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