VIR 94-97 OLY, December 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OLY beat VIR 97-94, but VIR's shots were worth 86.2 points to OLY's 82.5.

VIR 94-97 OLY, December 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VIR627566.219/2520.09486.2
OLY597663.121/2419.49782.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.