PAN 96-103 BAR, October 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat PAN 103-96, but PAN's shots were worth 99.8 points to BAR's 94.7.

PAN 96-103 BAR, October 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAN	72	70	75.8	26/30	24.0	96	99.8
BAR	67	84	75.5	19/25	19.2	103	94.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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