No. PAN beat ZAL 92-85, but ZAL's shots were worth 106.3 points to PAN's 79.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZAL | 72 | 75 | 95.0 | 10/15 | 11.2 | 85 | 106.3 |
| PAN | 64 | 85 | 71.4 | 7/10 | 7.8 | 92 | 79.2 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.