ZAL 109-68 PAR, December 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ZAL beat PAR 109-68, and ZAL's shots were worth 99.4 points to PAR's 83.6.

ZAL 109-68 PAR, December 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ZAL689585.814/1913.610999.4
PAR595972.59/1411.16883.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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