MIL 72-87 ULK, December 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ULK beat MIL 87-72, but MIL's shots were worth 85.5 points to ULK's 83.5.

MIL 72-87 ULK, December 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL625470.018/1915.57285.5
ULK657875.59/108.08783.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.