OLY 92-99 PAM, December 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAM beat OLY 99-92, and PAM's shots were worth 90.2 points to OLY's 89.7.

OLY 92-99 PAM, December 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLY	63	76	72.0	16/22	17.7	92	89.7
PAM	69	86	77.6	13/16	12.5	99	90.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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