MIL 89-82 MAD, December 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat MAD 89-82, but MAD's shots were worth 103.1 points to MIL's 80.6.

MIL 89-82 MAD, December 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL567062.719/2217.98980.6
MAD716182.021/2621.182103.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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