DUB 95-97 TEL, December 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TEL beat DUB 97-95, but DUB's shots were worth 92.5 points to TEL's 88.9.

DUB 95-97 TEL, December 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DUB617471.421/2621.19592.5
TEL708980.08/118.99788.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.