VIR 74-79 HTA, December 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HTA beat VIR 79-74, but VIR's shots were worth 80.0 points to HTA's 72.8.

VIR 74-79 HTA, December 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VIR616771.67/108.47480.0
HTA617265.17/107.87972.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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