PAR 79-76 RED, December 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAR beat RED 79-76, and PAR's shots were worth 92.6 points to RED's 83.3.

PAR 79-76 RED, December 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAR666479.415/1713.27992.6
RED626369.213/1914.17683.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.