No. ZAL beat PRS 108-105, but PRS's shots were worth 92.9 points to ZAL's 88.8.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRS | 78 | 90 | 79.1 | 15/18 | 13.8 | 105 | 92.9 |
| ZAL | 70 | 92 | 71.1 | 16/24 | 17.7 | 108 | 88.8 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.