MIL 96-89 PAN, December 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat PAN 96-89, but PAN's shots were worth 89.8 points to MIL's 81.6.

MIL 96-89 PAN, December 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL547559.821/2821.99681.6
PAN697778.712/1411.18989.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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