IST 75-81 MAD, December 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MAD beat IST 81-75, but IST's shots were worth 82.4 points to MAD's 78.6.

IST 75-81 MAD, December 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IST656673.89/118.67582.4
MAD546966.612/1512.08178.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.