ZAL 65-83 TEL, December 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TEL beat ZAL 83-65, but ZAL's shots were worth 107.3 points to TEL's 104.3.

ZAL 65-83 TEL, December 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ZAL754787.618/2519.765107.3
TEL726685.317/2419.083104.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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