MAD 89-77 OLY, October 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MAD beat OLY 89-77, but OLY's shots were worth 79.0 points to MAD's 77.3.

MAD 89-77 OLY, October 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MAD	63	70	57.1	19/26	20.2	89	77.3
OLY	61	56	56.9	21/28	22.2	77	79.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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