IST 74-73 BAR, November 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IST beat BAR 74-73, but BAR's shots were worth 89.2 points to IST's 79.5.

IST 74-73 BAR, November 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IST465155.723/3023.97479.5
BAR706380.710/118.57389.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.