BAR 88-81 VIR, November 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAR beat VIR 88-81, and BAR's shots were worth 79.5 points to VIR's 75.4.

BAR 88-81 VIR, November 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAR728070.88/118.78879.5
VIR586759.414/2015.98175.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.