No. MIL beat OLY 88-87, but OLY's shots were worth 84.3 points to MIL's 79.6.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 62 | 81 | 70.8 | 7/11 | 8.8 | 88 | 79.6 |
| OLY | 62 | 72 | 69.8 | 15/18 | 14.5 | 87 | 84.3 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.