MAD 77-87 PAN, November 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PAN beat MAD 87-77, but MAD's shots were worth 73.9 points to PAN's 72.4.

MAD 77-87 PAN, November 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MAD626159.916/1814.07773.9
PAN617157.216/2015.28772.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.