OLY 95-78 ZAL, November 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OLY beat ZAL 95-78, but ZAL's shots were worth 109.2 points to OLY's 98.8.

OLY 95-78 ZAL, November 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OLY647375.022/3023.79598.8
ZAL786090.318/2518.978109.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.