VIR 82-86 ULK, November 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ULK beat VIR 86-82, but VIR's shots were worth 90.7 points to ULK's 81.8.

VIR 82-86 ULK, November 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VIR	63	62	68.2	20/29	22.6	82	90.7
ULK	65	77	71.0	9/13	10.9	86	81.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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