PAR 81-88 MIL, November 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat PAR 88-81, but PAR's shots were worth 89.7 points to MIL's 78.1.

PAR 81-88 MIL, November 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAR656374.618/2015.18189.7
MIL556960.919/2117.28878.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.