ZAL 65-72 ULK, November 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ULK beat ZAL 72-65, but ZAL's shots were worth 90.3 points to ULK's 87.7.

ZAL 65-72 ULK, November 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ZAL	63	47	73.0	18/22	17.3	65	90.3
ULK	58	47	64.5	25/29	23.2	72	87.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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