BER 105-101 MIL, November 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BER beat MIL 105-101, but MIL's shots were worth 112.4 points to BER's 99.0.

BER 105-101 MIL, November 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BER718581.720/2317.310599.0
MIL747586.826/3025.6101112.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.