MCO 90-98 RED, November 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. RED beat MCO 98-90, but MCO's shots were worth 80.5 points to RED's 76.2.

MCO 90-98 RED, November 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MCO657362.017/2418.59080.5
RED668261.016/2115.29876.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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