PAN 89-94 OLY, November 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OLY beat PAN 94-89, and OLY's shots were worth 87.2 points to PAN's 84.5.

PAN 89-94 OLY, November 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAN	56	73	68.1	16/21	16.4	89	84.5
OLY	69	84	78.3	10/12	8.9	94	87.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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