PRS 74-71 PAR, November 7, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. PRS beat PAR 74-71, and the shots on each side were worth 73.9.

PRS 74-71 PAR, November 7, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PRS636061.414/1612.47473.9
PAR666466.57/107.47173.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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