PRS 67-65 BAS, November 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PRS beat BAS 67-65, but BAS's shots were worth 91.1 points to PRS's 76.8.

PRS 67-65 BAS, November 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PRS	72	57	67.5	10/12	9.3	67	76.8
BAS	67	41	69.5	24/28	21.6	65	91.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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