ZAL 63-62 MCO, November 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ZAL beat MCO 63-62, but MCO's shots were worth 76.9 points to ZAL's 70.4.

ZAL 63-62 MCO, November 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ZAL555964.64/85.86370.4
MCO564863.214/1713.76276.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.