MIL 99-90 VIR, October 31, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat VIR 99-90, and MIL's shots were worth 99.0 points to VIR's 87.2.

MIL 99-90 VIR, October 31, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL708079.919/2319.19999.0
VIR556564.025/2923.29087.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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