PAR 74-79 MCO, October 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MCO beat PAR 79-74, and MCO's shots were worth 85.6 points to PAR's 78.9.

PAR 74-79 MCO, October 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAR606568.99/1310.07478.9
MCO626064.719/2620.97985.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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