MIL 84-96 IST, October 24, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IST beat MIL 96-84, but MIL's shots were worth 99.7 points to IST's 77.6.

MIL 84-96 IST, October 24, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL666276.822/2722.98499.7
IST558768.49/129.29677.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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