No. ZAL beat TEL 78-63, but TEL's shots were worth 83.4 points to ZAL's 82.3.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZAL | 56 | 63 | 67.1 | 15/20 | 15.2 | 78 | 82.3 |
| TEL | 60 | 48 | 68.6 | 15/19 | 14.8 | 63 | 83.4 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.