PAN 111-104 RED, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PAN beat RED 111-104, but RED's shots were worth 95.1 points to PAN's 94.9.

PAN 111-104 RED, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAN	67	90	75.3	21/25	19.5	111	94.9
RED	71	89	77.2	15/24	17.9	104	95.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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