IST 87-77 ZAL, April 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IST beat ZAL 87-77, but ZAL's shots were worth 84.3 points to IST's 77.7.

IST 87-77 ZAL, April 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IST587667.311/1310.58777.7
ZAL646570.612/1813.77784.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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